February 25th, 2011
RED C have conducted an analysis of our likelihood to vote question, on all the polls conducted over the campaign, in an effort to try and predict actual turnout today. This analysis is not an exact science, as there is a theory that people who are willing to conduct an opinion poll, are slightly more likely to vote, but we have had . . .RED C Research & Marketing Ltd
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Turnout Predictions GE11 – 65%+?
GE11 – Transfer Analysis – 23rd Feb
February 23rd, 2011
Fine Gael gaining second preference transfers across the campaign Evaluation of claimed second preference vote behaviour, allows us to try and better understand how transfers may pan out on Election Day. Across the four polls conducted in February by RED C we see Fine Gael on course to secure 28% of second preference votes, with strongest transfer coming from Labour candidates . . .GE11 – Regional Analysis – Update 23rd Feb
February 23rd, 2011
Fine Gael leads vote share in all regions. A regional update of the polls, including the latest poll published on the 23rd February, shows a similar picture as those seen previously. Small gains are seen for Fine Gael in Dublin, Leinster outside of Dublin and Connaught/Ulster. This leaves the party ahead in all regions, with particular strengths in Connaught and Ulster. Labours . . .Final PP GE11 Campaign Poll Results
February 23rd, 2011
The final poll of the GE11 campaign, with polling conducted right up to the 22nd February, sees voters continue to make up their minds leaving just 13% undecided, as we move into the final few days. Fine Gael support continues on the gradual ascent seen throughout the campaign, with the party securing 40% share of the first preference vote overall, up . . .GE11 – Regional Analysis Update 20th Feb
February 21st, 2011
Fine Gael gains outside of Dublin. A regional update of the polls, including the latest poll published on the 20th February, suggest that gains for Fine Gael are coming from outside Dublin. The party sees support rise in both the Rest of Leinster by 2% and Munster by 3% in the four poll analysis. In Dublin however the party remains static . . .Cork North Central Constituency Poll
February 21st, 2011
Labour dominate Cork North Central, but just miss out on second seat. Labour are the big winner in Cork North Central, with the change of boundaries in the constituency, the party increases its share of the vote from 12% in 2007 to 33% in this poll. Kathleen Lynch is close to making quota on the first count, increasing her share of . . .SBP GE11 Poll 20th Feb – Full Report
February 21st, 2011
Can Fine Gael win a Majority? Less than week from the election, and there is no question that Fine Gael are the party with the famous “momentum” behind them. During the campaign the party have seen a consistent upward trend in the polls that has taken them from securing 33% share at the start of the campaign, to 39% share in this poll. SBP . . .Cork South Central Constituency Poll
February 16th, 2011
Martin doesn’t do enough to save both seats, and Fine Gael take honors. Since his election as leader of Fianna Fail this constituency focus has all been on Micheal Martin, and what he can do to hold up the share of the vote. While he does manage to hold the Fianna Fail share at a higher level than seen nationally, it . . .13th Feb SBP Poll Report – Full
February 14th, 2011
Fine Gael upward trend continues Fine Gael sees a further gain in first preference vote share as undecided voters begin to make up their minds, and in doing so support the party. They take 38% share of the first preference vote and while this is up 3% since a week ago, of more interest is the trend over the campaign. When . . .Regional Analysis of Campaign Polls
February 14th, 2011
Fine Gael support founded in strengths outside of Dublin. The latest RED C Sunday Business Post poll sees Fine Gael make considerable gains, while Labour and Fianna Fail fall back. These trends are underpinned by very different voter behaviour in different constituencies. Regional poll vs. poll analysis is not reliable as the sample size is too small, however with a large . . .Latest Poll Results, GE11, 12th Feb
February 12th, 2011
Latest Sunday Business Post Tracking Poll Results Fine Gael 38% (+3), Feb 3 poll average = 37% Labour 20% (-2), Feb 3 poll average = 20% Fianna Fail 15% (-2), Feb 3 poll average = 17% Sinn Fein 10% (-3), Feb 3 poll average = 12% Greens 3% (+1), Feb 3 poll average = 3% Independents 14% (+3), Feb 3 poll average = 12% Undecided voters fall to 17%, . . .General Election 2011
February 11th, 2011
Find the latest General Election 2011 vote share information trends here.FusionCharts
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The Battle for Floating Voters
February 7th, 2011
SBP Poll - 6th Feb 2011 - General Election 2011. Do you wonder why Fine Gael and Labour are tearing chunks out of each other in the campaign so far, when they appear most likely to be coalition partners? The reason becomes clear, when we look more closely at the number of voters that remain undecided about how they will vote . . .Fine Gael make significant gains
February 7th, 2011
Paddy Power Poll - 2nd Feb 2011 - General Election 2011. Fine Gael see a significant rise in support in today's poll, taking 37% of the first preference vote, a rise of 3% since the last RED C poll at the weekend. If this trend continues, the party must be looking at the possibility of forming a government and possibly just . . .Runners & Riders for GE11
February 7th, 2011
SBP Jan 30th 2011 - General Election Poll On Tuesday the Dail will be dissolved and the election campaign can start in earnest. So what does the wealth of data we have available from the monthly Sunday Business Post Tracking polls tell us about the likely outcome for each of the runners and riders, in a few weeks time? Fianna Fail will . . .Fine Gael Extend Lead
January 18th, 2011
Paddy Power - Jan 2011 - Fine Gael extend their lead ahead of the other parties, as Fianna Fail drop back to just 14%. Fine Gael extend their lead as the party with most support in Ireland, securing 35% of the first preference vote and as such continuing the upward trend of support seen in polls over the end of 2010. Support . . .Fine Gael largest party
December 18th, 2010
SBP Poll - Dec 2011 - The announcement by the Green Party last month that they were to leave the government after the budget, means an election is imminent. While the exact date for the election is still somewhat unclear, it is clear to voters that an election will be held in the early part of next year. The clear . . .